by David Ramsey
While Pryor holds a 10-percentage point advantage – which is right at the edge of the poll's sampling error – it should be noted that the incumbent is under 50%. Thirteen percent questioned in the survey said they were undecided. Political experts generally believe that undecided voters tend to break against the incumbent.
On paper, Sen. Mark Pryor (D-Ark.) should be this cycle’s most endangered incumbent.
But rumors of his political death might have been premature.
Eight months from Election Day, the centrist Democrat is still neck and neck with or ahead of his GOP opponent in private and partisan polls. An independent poll this week showed Pryor up 3 points and a second on Thursday put him up 10 points, despite a sour national climate and $6 million in negative ads already spent against him.