Another robopoll puts Sen. Mark Pryo
r behind Republican Tom Cotton
in the race for U.S. Senate, this time by six points, 42-36. Lots of undecided.
It looks a touch overweighted on self-identified conservatives (50 percent of the sample) and the Harper Poll
is a Republican outfit through and through
. But it also caused some unhappiness among Republicans by putting a challenger to Sen. Ed Markey 12 points behind in a special Massachusetts election. Markey won by 10.
The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee comments:
“Harper Polling is a notoriously right wing pollster who produces results so laughably off base that even our friends at the NRSC are on record claiming Harper polls are ‘written in crayon.’ Generously referred to as a polling firm, Harper Polling should never be taken seriously, and we join the NRSC in that sentiment. The truth is that while Republican Senate candidates across the country are mired in divisive primaries that will produce unelectable nominees, Democrats are outpolling, out-fundraising and out-campaigning their opponents.”
Alas, I believe the Republican criticism about Harper was about that very Massachusetts poll that proved out in practice.
ON THE OTHER HAND: Here's some statistical modeling in the Washington Post t
hat gives a Republicans a narrow edge on changing the Senate majority, BUT it says Arkansas is FAVORED TO REMAIN DEMOCRATIC. (OK, there's a long explanation included on how this might have to be adjusted.)