The Clinton effect | Arkansas Blog

The Clinton effect

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In their final round of polling, Talk Business and Hendrix College gauge the value of having Bill Clinton campaign for candidates in Arkansas this year. It's all about the base.

Clinton's favorable/unfavorables in Arkansas aren't as good as they are some other places, but still strong — 55-40. A bit more than 40 percent would be less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Clinton, the poll showed, but that's mostly a correlation with his general favorability. He has strong niche appeal, however, including black voters. If Democrats are going to have a chance this year, it will be through mobilization of base voters. Thus, Bill Clinton. Noted, however: the minority of voters who self-identify as independents, rather than Democrat or Republican, are strongly negative on the former president.

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