by Max Brantley
I printed some misinformation on Arkanas voter turnout a while back. The secretary of state today says the turnout of Arkansas's appears likely to be about 65 percent of the state's 1.68 million registered voters. Counties are still reporting, but if that holds, that means about 1.09 million votes.
That would be only about 35,000 votes more than 2004, when the turnout was about 63 percent of registered voters. The record turnout was 77 percent in 1980.
The failure of the big new Democratic voter registration to translate into more votes at the polls is becoming increasingly evident.
Everyone has been talking about that NY Times interactive map that showed Arkansas, on a county-by-county basis, voting "redder" than in 2004 than any other state.
This listing on Daily Kos simplifies what that map meant. Kos compares Obama's percentage of the vote in each state with Kerry's percentage of the vote in 2004. This shows a Democratic gain in 46 states. Only four states were "redder" in 2008 and Arkansas led them all:
Arkansas + 11 R
Alaska + 5 R
Louisiana +4 R
Tennessee + 1 R
Depressing as hell. I see why my Repub friend has found sunshinein his gloom. I'd also add this: While plenty of fine Republicans voted against anti-homosexual Act 1, as WLR precinct totals clearly indicate, the Kos analysis helps explain the passage of Act 1 despite public polling that showed most Arkansans (not first screened as registered voters) opposed it. Disproportionate Republican voters in the mix.