The electoral crystal ball | Arkansas Blog

The electoral crystal ball



To continue the presidential guessing game begun by last night's note on the Rasmussen poll in Arkansas, a UA politics junkie sends along some links to spur discussion.

First, there's Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball. The U. of Va. academic's electoral vote analysis concludes, essentially, that it's too close to call.

Don't like that? Here's a nice electoral map based on data amassed by an American computer expert who teaches in The Netherlands. He updates regularly. Currently, he says it's a runaway for Obama. He predicts big Dem gains in the House and the Senate, too. Let's hope so. Bye-bye Joe, if so.

Then there's, which compiles, among tons of other data, a running average of all national presidential polling. Currently, it's 46.4 Obama, 43.1 McCain.

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