Louis Jacobson, a columnist for the Washington, D.C. political newspaper Roll Call, bumps Arkansas up from seventh to fifth in his latest ranking of states likely to experience a change in the partisan control of the governor's office.
It's hard to quarrel with his short analysis:
Vacating seat: Mike Huckabee (R)
Previous ranking: 7
Attorney General Mike Beebe (D) seems to be quietly solidifying his position. He has consistently outraised former Rep. Asa Hutchinson (R) by about 2-1, and the short-lived primary challenge by former Clinton administration official Bill Halter kicked Beebe into higher gear. Hutchinson is expected to share the ballot with a staunchly conservative lieutenant governor candidate, state Sen. Jim Holt. That could make it harder for Hutchinson to win over moderates in November, though he could also benefit from Holt¹s effective turnout operation.